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Dec 5, 2023 · MR. MICHAEL CEMBALEST: Good afternoon everybody. This is Michael Cembalest with the last Eye on the Market Podcast for 2023. This is our biennial, which means twice a year, alternative investments review. And this one’s called It’s Mostly a Paper Moon. Anybody that’s around my age would remember The Paper Moon movie. . Morimoto's las vegas

Aug 2, 2023 · The data in this report is not representative of Chase’s overall credit and debit cardholder population. The views, opinions and estimates expressed herein constitute Michael Cembalest’s judgment based on current market conditions and are subject to change without notice. Michael Cembalest is the Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy for J.P. Morgan Asset Management, a global leader in investment management and private banking with $2.2 trillion of client assets under management worldwide (as of September 30, 2019). RECORDED ANNOUNCER: Michael Cembalest's Eye on the Market offers a unique perspective on the economy, current events, markets and investment portfolios, and is a production of JPMorgan Asset and Wealth Management. Michael Cembalest is the chairman of Market and Investment Strategy for JPMorgan Asset Management and is …Enable JavaScript to see Google Maps.In this edition of Eye on the Market: Oh the Places We Could Go, Michael Cembalest, Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy at J.P. Morgan Asset and Wealth Management, addresses the question of the dollar as the world’s reserve currency.Cembalest also examines the ongoing situation with U.S. regional banks, trade, …(ANI) Tags. JP Morgan Asset Management. 2024 outlook. Federal Trade Commission. Global Stage. Loading... The overarching theme suggests a shift towards a soft landing …Nov 19, 2020 · Michael Cembalest, chairman of market and strategy at JPMorgan Asset Management, called the "remote risk" of a Trump victory an "American horror story" that would lead to constitutional mayhem in ... Mr. Michael Cembalest is a Co-Chief Investment Officer at JPMorgan Chase Co. He was previously employed as a Principal by JPMorgan Securities LLC. Mr. Cembalest earned an M.A. from the Columbia School of International and Public Affairs in 1986 and a B.A.Originally published in a research letter by Michael Cembalest of JP Morgan, we’ve updated it based on the most recent data and projections from the IMF. If you like, you can still find the original chart (which goes to 2008) at The Atlantic. It’s also worth noting that the original source for all the data up until 2008 is from the late Angus Maddison, a famous economic …Feb 8, 2024 · Michael Cembalest takes a closer look at equities, fixed income, China, Japan, antitrust, weight loss drugs and ten surprises for 2024. LISTEN NOW A family approach to real estate: Providing a strategic road map for next gen home purchases Michael Cembalest: Contact us at [email protected] with any feedback, recommendations, or questions. Follow us on Instagram and YouTube. Check out our t-shirts, coffee mugs, and other swag here. Wealthcast Media, an affiliate of Ritholtz Wealth Management, received compensation from …Michael Cembalest is on Facebook. Join Facebook to connect with Michael Cembalest and others you may know. Facebook gives people the power to share and makes the world more open and connected.Enable JavaScript to see Google Maps.Dec 5, 2023 · Michael Cembalest. In the latest Eye on the Market, Michael Cembalest, Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy at J.P. Morgan Asset and Wealth Management, analyzes industry returns across sectors like private equity, venture capital, hedge funds and more. While private equity and venture capital managers have outperformed public markets, a ... Michael Cembalest is the Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy for J.P. Morgan Asset Management, a global leader in investment management and private banking with $2.2 trillion of client assets under management worldwide (as of September 30, 2019). He is responsible for leading the strategic market and investment insights across the firm’s …Feb 10, 2024 · Michael Cembalest, chair of market and investment strategy at JPMorgan Asset Management, likes to periodically take aim at gloomy investment predictions, and to be fair the media outlets like this ... Mr. Cembalest is the Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy for J.P. Morgan Asset Management, a global leader in investment management and private banking.Cembalest’s 31-page report also discusses the pros and cons of NFTs, cross-border remittances, stablecoins, and the blockchain in some detail, ultimately tying it all back to the Maltese Falcon.Nov 07, 2023 |. By Michael Cembalest. | Banoyi. Joe Biden could pull out from this year's presidential elections, says a JPMorgan strategist. Michael Cembalest said Biden's withdrawal could happen "sometime between Super Tuesday and the November election."Biden's candidacy has been beset with concerns over his low approval ratings …By Michael Cembalest. We invite you to explore the 13th Annual Eye on the Market Energy Paper: "Growing Pains: The Renewable Transition in Adolescence" by Michael Cembalest, Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy at J.P. Morgan Asset & Wealth Management. Renewables are growing but they …Michael Cembalest is the Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy for J.P. Morgan Asset Management, a global leader in investment management and private banking with $2.2 trillion of client assets under management worldwide (as of September 30, 2019). He is responsible for leading the strategic market and …Michael Cembalest Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy Published May 5, 2021 + Follow Future shock. Absent decarbonization shock treatment, humans will be wedded to petroleum and other ...EYE ON THE MARKET • MICHAEL CEMBALEST • J.P. MORGAN Access our 12th annual energy paper . here October 19, 2022 1 . Reruns: how equity declines precede the fall in earnings, growth and employment during recessions; new US semiconductor export policies on China and the clash of empires; and other press article extolling the an renewable …Mr. Michael Cembalest is a Co-Chief Investment Officer at JPMorgan Chase Co. He was previously employed as a Principal by JPMorgan Securities LLC. Mr. Cembalest earned an M.A. from the Columbia School of International and Public Affairs in 1986 and a B.A. Mr. Cembalest is the Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy for J.P. Morgan Asset Management, a global leader in investment management and private banking. Michael Cembalest said Biden's withdrawal could happen "sometime between Super Tuesday and the November election." Biden's candidacy has been beset with concerns over his low approval ratings and ... Michael Cembalest, the chairman of market and investment strategy for JPMorgan Asset & Wealth Management, listed Biden dropping out of the race as one of his "10 predicted surprises" for this year ...Jan 1, 2023 · Michael Cembalest is the Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy for J.P. Morgan Asset Management and is one of our most renowned and provocative speakers. For more information, please subscribe to the Eye on the Market by contacting your J.P. Morgan representative. If you’d like to hear more, please explore episodes on iTunes or on our ... By Michael Cembalest. We invite you to explore the 13th Annual Eye on the Market Energy Paper: "Growing Pains: The Renewable Transition in Adolescence" by Michael Cembalest, Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy at J.P. Morgan Asset & Wealth Management. Renewables are growing but they …EYE ON THE MARKET MICHAEL CEMBALEST J.P. MORGAN OCTOBER 18, 2016 3 Quick comments on global business surveys, Deutsche Bank, and Brexit • As the year comes to a close, global business surveys are signaling economic growth of around 2.5% (1st chart). No recession, but nothing to get too excited about either.Michael Cembalest said Biden's withdrawal could happen "sometime between Super Tuesday and the November election." Biden's candidacy has been beset with concerns over his low approval ratings and ...Technical details : Unknown catalog request error. Session ID: 2024-03-28:6234c7346de45b40a3f5ad57 Player Element ID: video …View info. If there were an unforeseen negative change in a city, what might the catalysts be? In a city that’s already a difficult place to do business, a combination of …Feb 10, 2024 · Michael Cembalest, chair of market and investment strategy at JPMorgan Asset Management, likes to periodically take aim at gloomy investment predictions, and to be fair the media outlets like this ... In a report published on March 5, Michael Cembalest, chair of the bank's market and investment strategy arm, declared that "the U.S. has achieved energy independence for the first time in 40 years ...In his 30-page investigation that riffs on the 1941 film “The Maltese Falcon,” Michael Cembalest, J.P. Morgan Asset & Wealth Management’s chairman of market and investment str...Terms and conditions. Table of Contents. For Professional Clients. Terms of Use. Privacy Policy. For Professional Clients. In order to enter the page please read the information …Michael Cembalest chairs the Market and Investment Strategy group, and is responsible for the development of market and investment insights across the firm’s Institutional, Funds and Private Banking businesses. Mr. Cembalest also serves on the J.P. Morgan Asset & Wealth Management Investment Committee. He previously served on …The prediction is among ‘ten surprises’ contained in Michael Cembalest’s ‘Eye on the Market | Outlook 2024’ report. President Biden will withdraw sometime between Super Tuesday (the day ...Michael Cembalest is the Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy for J.P. Morgan Asset Management, a global leader in investment management and private banking with $2.2 trillion of client assets under management worldwide (as of September 30, 2019). He is responsible for leading the strategic market and investment insights across the firm’s …Michael Cembalest has compiled a list of his 'Ten Surprises' for 2024, speculating on topics ranging from the value of the dollar to the war in Ukraine.EYE ON THE MARKET • MICHAEL CEMBALEST • J.P. MORGAN Access our 12th annual energy paper . here October 19, 2022 1 . Reruns: how equity declines precede the fall in earnings, growth and employment during recessions; new US semiconductor export policies on China and the clash of empires; and other press article extolling the an renewable …New Delhi [India], January 2 (ANI): As investors gear up for the new year, JP Morgan Asset Management 's Chief Investment Officer, Michael Cembalest, shares insights into the 2024 economic ...Michael Cembalest chairs the Market and Investment Strategy group, and is responsible for the development of market and investment insights across the firm’s Institutional, Funds and Private Banking businesses. Mr. Cembalest also serves on the J.P. Morgan Asset & Wealth Management Investment Committee. He previously served on …In his 30-page investigation that riffs on the 1941 film “The Maltese Falcon,” Michael Cembalest, J.P. Morgan Asset & Wealth Management’s chairman of market and investment str...On episode 101 of The Compound and Friends, Michael Batnick and Downtown Josh Brown are joined by Michael Cembalest to discuss the economy, AI stocks, the wo... By Michael Cembalest | Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy for J.P. Morgan Asset & Wealth Management EYE ON THE MARKET • MI HAEL EM ALEST • J.P. MORGAN • MARCH 2024 14 th Annual Energy Paper Michael Cembalest siège également au Comité d’investissement de J.P. Morgan Asset & Wealth Management. Il a précédemment siégé au Comité d’investissement du régime de retraite de J.P. Morgan pour les plus de 256 000 salariés de la banque. Plus récemment, il était Directeur des investissements pour la Banque Privée …Dec 5, 2023 · MR. MICHAEL CEMBALEST: Good afternoon everybody. This is Michael Cembalest with the last Eye on the Market Podcast for 2023. This is our biennial, which means twice a year, alternative investments review. And this one’s called It’s Mostly a Paper Moon. Anybody that’s around my age would remember The Paper Moon movie. MICHAEL CEMBALEST: Good morning and welcome to the April Eye on the Market podcast, entitled Frankenstein’s Monster. In the 1800s, there was an Italian scientist named Luigi Galvani that was experimenting with electricity and, and frogs to see if he could generate movement in them after they died. And it was the inspiration for the …Michael Cembalest Takes Us to School. The Compound and Friends. On episode 101 of The Compound and Friends, Michael Batnick and Downtown Josh Brown are joined by Michael Cembalest to discuss the economy, AI stocks, the worst experiment in capital markets, the biggest risks to the market, the 2024 election, and much more!EYE ON THE MARKET • MICHAEL CEMBALEST J.P. MORGAN Coronavirus 3 E-commerce monitor Lingering consumer preferences for e-commerce after the pandemic is over may be one of its more lasting legacies, with implications for a wide range of sectors and industries. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 7-Mar 26-Apr 15-Jun 4-Aug 2020 …The predominant vision for the future involves the electrification of everything, powered by solar, wind, transmission and distributed energy storage. READ NOW. Latest. Trade. …Michael Cembalest recently released a list of his 'Ten Surprises' for 2024 in remembrance of former strategist Byron Wien, who died at the age of 90 having spent the last 38 years making the annual predictions. Wien emphasized that he intended to "expand people's thinking" and that, even if the prophecies failed to come true, it was still …Michael Cembalest I just read your 2022 Energy Paper. Your graphs and explanations are very useful. I particularly enjoyed your take on the Myths of Hydrogen saving the world. For me the portion ...Jan 1, 2023 · Michael Cembalest is the Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy for J.P. Morgan Asset Management and is one of our most renowned and provocative speakers. For more information, please subscribe to the Eye on the Market by contacting your J.P. Morgan representative. If you’d like to hear more, please explore episodes on iTunes or on our ... In a report published on March 5, Michael Cembalest, chair of the bank's market and investment strategy arm, declared that "the U.S. has achieved energy independence for the first time in 40 years ...Michael Cembalest, chair of market and investment strategy at JPMorgan Asset Management, likes to periodically take aim at gloomy investment predictions, and to be fair the media outlets like this ...He’s a misfortune teller. J.P. Morgan strategist Michael Cembalest predicted to investors that President Joe Biden will drop out out of the 2024 race due to concerns over his well-being.. In an “Eye on the Market” newsletter for clients on Jan. 1, Cembalest ventured beyond finance in his “top 10 surprises” for 2024. He forecasted the …than Michael Cembalest, my investment partner, who guides all of us with his deeply researched and insightful perspectives. Michael’s Eye on the Market Outlook is one of our clients’ most cherished publications and this year’s Pillow Talk gives us a look into several global investment areas as well as 10 predicted surprises for 2024.He’s a misfortune teller. J.P. Morgan strategist Michael Cembalest predicted to investors that President Joe Biden will drop out out of the 2024 race due to concerns over his well-being.. In an “Eye on the Market” newsletter for clients on Jan. 1, Cembalest ventured beyond finance in his “top 10 surprises” for 2024. He forecasted the … Michael Cembalest is the Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy for J.P. Morgan Asset Management, a global leader in investment management and private banking with $2.2 trillion of client assets under management worldwide (as of September 30, 2019). View the profiles of professionals named "Michael Cembalest" on LinkedIn. There are 6 professionals named "Michael Cembalest", who use LinkedIn to exchange information, ideas, and opportunities.Michael Cembalest is the Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy at JP Morgan Asset Management. Since 2005, Michael has been the author of the Eye on the Market, which covers a wide range of topics across markets, investments, economics, politics, energy, municipal finance and more. Follow Michael on … • MICHAEL CEMBALEST • J.P. MORGAN August 19, 202 1 Topics: if people avoided SPACs instead of avoiding COVID vaccines, the US would be both wealthier and closer to herd immunity. An update on our SPAC analysis from last February, and a look at the strange mathematical paradox that ends up understating some critical COVID vaccine efficacy data MICHAEL CEMBALEST is the Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy for J.P. Morgan Asset Management, a global leader in investment management and private banking with $1.8 trillion of client assets under management worldwide (as of September 30, 2016). He is responsible for leading the strategic market and investment insights across the …Before getting into the US$ discussion, three quick things. First, despite strong US data in Q1 and Q2, the US still appears headed for a slowdown later this year. As shown below, many longer-horizon leading indicators point in that direction. Excess household savings are also being run down and should be 60% … The Playback API request failed for an unknown reason. While COVID temporarily reduced CO₂ emissions, a faster and broader renewable energy transition will be needed to result in more permanent reductions. With the release of each Eye on the Market publication, Michael Cembalest explores investment topics, including the economy, policy and ... Enable JavaScript to see Google Maps. Michael Cembalest is the Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy for J.P. Morgan Asset Management. He has a degree from Columbia University and shares articles and insights on LinkedIn about markets, economy and fishing. Michael Cembalest, JP Morgan Asset Management 1 Warren Buffett has a $60 bn stake in Chevron & Occidental, offered several billion to buy Dominion gas/ transmission assets until anti-trust concerns forced a withdrawal, and owns stakes in Kinder Morgan pipelines. 2 EIA 2021 projections on the prior page precede …Private equity returns also look better on an overall I.R.R. basis during the past few years. PitchBook data as of March shows private equity with an annualized net I.R.R. of 19.2 percent over ...Feb 16, 2022 · Michael Cembalest: JPMorgan Asset Manager Talks Crypto. High-profile JPMorgan asset manager Michael Cembalest talks crypto. Here are his personal views, plus a peek into his net worth and more. But here it is: The economic history of the world going back to Year 1 showing the major powers' share of world GDP, from a research letter written by Michael Cembalest, chairman of market and ...New Delhi [India], January 2 (ANI): As investors gear up for the new year, JP Morgan Asset Management’s Chief Investment Officer, Michael Cembalest, shares insights into the 2024 economic landscape and market trends. The overarching theme suggests a shift towards a soft landing rather than a recession, supported by falling US inflation and ...In this edition of Eye on the Market: Oh the Places We Could Go, Michael Cembalest, Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy at J.P. Morgan Asset and Wealth Management, addresses the question of the dollar as the world’s reserve currency.Cembalest also examines the ongoing situation with U.S. regional banks, trade, …FEMALE VOICE: Michael Cembalest’s Eye on the Market offers a unique perspective on the economy, current events, markets, and investment portfolios, and is a production of J.P. Morgan Asset and Wealth Management. Michael Cembalest is the Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy for J.P. … Michael Cembalest analyzes the performance of over 6,700 domestic and international active equity managers and discusses the challenges they face. Terms and conditions. Table of Contents. For Professional Clients. Terms of Use. Privacy Policy. For Professional Clients. In order to enter the page please read the information …FEMALE VOICE: Michael Cembalest’s Eye on the Market offers a unique perspective on the economy, current events, markets, and investment portfolios, and is a production of J.P. Morgan Asset and Wealth Management. Michael Cembalest is the Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy for J.P. … Michael Cembalest, JP Morgan Asset Management Methodology for capital adjustment chart The goal of the chart is to illustrate the theoretical capital impact of an immediate liquidation of a bank’s entire investment securities portfolio, both HTM and AFS. Nov 19, 2020 · Michael Cembalest, chairman of market and strategy at JPMorgan Asset Management, called the "remote risk" of a Trump victory an "American horror story" that would lead to constitutional mayhem in ... MICHAEL CEMBALEST | JP MORGAN ASSET AND WEALTH MANAGEMENT Future shock. Absent decarbonization shock treatment, humans will be wedded to petroleum and other fossil fuels for longer than they would like. Wind and solar power reach new heights every year but still represent just 5% of global primary energy consumption. Sep 8, 2017 · Today’s chart tells that story in the simplest terms possible. By showing the changing share of the global economy for each country from 1 AD until now, it compares economic productivity over a mind-boggling time period. Originally published in a research letter by Michael Cembalest of JP Morgan, we’ve updated it based on the most recent ... VDOM DHTML tml> The 2024 Global Economy: Trends and Insights with Michael Cembalest | What’s The Deal? | J.P. Morgan - YouTube. About Press Copyright Contact …Dec 4, 2021 · Since 2009, Mr. Cembalest said in an interview, the median annual outperformance of private equity buyout funds has been “bouncing around on a median and average basis from 1 to 5 percent.” Join Michael Cembalest as he explores a wide variety of investment topics, including the economy, policy and markets. ‎Business · 2022 Global Nav Open Menu Global Nav Close MenuMichael Cembalest recently released a list of his 'Ten Surprises' for 2024 in remembrance of former strategist Byron Wien, who died at the age of 90 having spent the last 38 years making the annual predictions. Wien emphasized that he intended to "expand people's thinking" and that, even if the prophecies failed to come true, it was still …Feb. 16 2022, Published 3:56 p.m. ET. Source: JPMorgan. High-profile JPMorgan asset manager Michael Cembalest spoke about the cryptocurrency market in a recent Eye On the Market podcast episode ...Michael Cembalest, chair of market and investment strategy at JPMorgan Asset Management, likes to periodically take aim at gloomy investment predictions, and to be fair the media outlets like this ...Michael Cembalest outlines a promising but vague and uncertain future for crypto with razor focus on risks and uncertainties. A key takeaway for me is that investment banks active in the crypto ...

RECORDED ANNOUNCER: Michael Cembalest's Eye on the Market offers a unique perspective on the economy, current events, markets and investment portfolios, and is a production of JPMorgan Asset and Wealth Management. Michael Cembalest is the chairman of Market and Investment Strategy for JPMorgan Asset Management and is …. Intercontinental bellevue

michael cembalest

Aug 2, 2023 · Michael Cembalest is the Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy for J.P. Morgan Asset Management and is one of our most renowned and provocative speakers. For more information, please subscribe to the Eye on the Market by contacting your J.P. Morgan representative. If you’d like to hear more, please explore episodes on iTunes or on our ... FEMALE VOICE: Michael Cembalest’s Eye on the Market offers a unique perspective on the economy, current events, markets, and investment portfolios, and is a production of J.P. Morgan Asset and Wealth Management. Michael Cembalest is the Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy for J.P. Morgan Asset Management and is one of our most …Michael Cembalest recently released a list of his 'Ten Surprises' for 2024 in remembrance of former strategist Byron Wien, who died at the age of 90 having spent the last 38 years making the annual predictions. Wien emphasized that he intended to "expand people's thinking" and that, even if the prophecies failed to come true, it was still …MICHAEL CEMBALEST: Good afternoon everybody. This is Michael Cembalest with the last Eye on the Market Podcast for 2023. This is our biennial, which means twice a year, alternative investments review. And this one’s called It’s Mostly a Paper Moon. Anybody that’s around my age would remember The Paper Moon movie. And …Michael Cembalest: Contact us at [email protected] with any feedback, recommendations, or questions. Follow us on Instagram and YouTube. Check out our t-shirts, coffee mugs, and other swag here. Wealthcast Media, an affiliate of Ritholtz Wealth Management, received compensation from …AUTOMATED MESSAGE: Michael Cembalest's Eye on the Market offers a unique perspective on the economy, current events, markets and investment portfolios and is a production of JPMorgan Asset and Wealth Management. Michael Cembalest is the Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy for JPMorgan …Michael Cembalest is the Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy for J.P. Morgan Asset & Wealth Management, a global leader in investment management and private banking with $2.2 trillion of client assets under management worldwide (as of September 30, 2019). He is responsible for leading the strategic market and investment insights across …Jan 1, 2023 · Michael Cembalest is the Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy for J.P. Morgan Asset Management and is one of our most renowned and provocative speakers. For more information, please subscribe to the Eye on the Market by contacting your J.P. Morgan representative. If you’d like to hear more, please explore episodes on iTunes or on our ... FEMALE VOICE: Michael Cembalest’s Eye on the Market offers a unique perspective on the economy, current events, markets, and investment portfolios, and is a production of J.P. Morgan Asset and Wealth Management. Michael Cembalest is the Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy for J.P. Morgan Asset Management and is one of our most …Such in saying; people that demonstrate signs in the of life like the Michael CEMBALEST does with certain on goings like these podcasts signifies to me Michel J Maillet that the Michael CEMBALEST is an integral person. Because these days; merely existing in true life can be already; right there; more than half the battle in the business …Michael Cembalest analyzes the performance of over 6,700 domestic and international active equity managers and discusses the challenges they face. Read more Cold Turkey. A brief comment on a proposal from leading Presidential candidates to ban hydraulic fracturing everywhere, immediately. Read more So …Michael Cembalest Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy Published Jan 3, 2023 + Follow The affair with the market catalysts of the last decade is over now, and a new era of investing begins. ...Michael Cembalest Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy Published May 5, 2021 + Follow Future shock. Absent decarbonization shock treatment, humans will be wedded to petroleum and other ...Michael Cembalest; Usha Haley; Application of findings from "Subsidies to Chinese Industry" by UCV Haley and GT Haley described extensively in JP Morgan’s "Eye on the Market: the Agony and the ......more. Shop the The Compound store. On episode 101 of The Compound and Friends, Michael Batnick and Downtown Josh Brown are joined by Michael … Mr. Cembalest is the Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy for J.P. Morgan Asset Management, a global leader in investment management and private banking. Michael Cembalest, JP Morgan Asset Management Methodology for capital adjustment chart The goal of the chart is to illustrate the theoretical capital impact of an immediate liquidation of a bank’s entire investment securities portfolio, both HTM and AFS. For systemically important banks, no adjustment for AFS is needed since AFS unrealized …Michael Cembalest, the chairman of market and investment strategy for JPMorgan Asset & Wealth Management, listed Biden dropping out of the race as one of his "10 predicted surprises" for this year ....

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